Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.240953 0.278054 0.318748 0.366668 0.421527 0.482342 0.554852
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.184253 0.232893 0.291016 0.365475 0.458223 0.569843 0.714289
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.143519 0.197218 0.266614 0.362600 0.491655 0.658890 0.891793
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.114343 0.169815 0.246895 0.361321 0.526344 0.755119 1.095722
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.093287 0.148929 0.231624 0.362680 0.564271 0.861553 1.331936
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.078855 0.134631 0.222854 0.371365 0.613745 0.991959 1.624569
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.065461 0.119077 0.209008 0.369210 0.645552 1.100054 1.900468
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.056703 0.109415 0.202776 0.378030 0.696161 1.245293 2.259092
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047671 0.097340 0.190009 0.372871 0.721294 1.350857 2.566105
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.041692 0.089763 0.183922 0.378575 0.766544 1.497885 2.968921
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.035117 0.079612 0.170983 0.368584 0.779932 1.587621 3.277762
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.031762 0.075525 0.169395 0.381002 0.839432 1.773776 3.800819
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028877 0.071997 0.168567 0.395367 0.906406 1.986861 4.415354
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025280 0.066072 0.161432 0.394678 0.941057 2.138728 4.926091
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022097 0.060472 0.154003 0.391976 0.970789 2.284593 5.446592
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019477 0.055730 0.147724 0.390863 1.004017 2.443144 6.019898
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017366 0.051876 0.142917 0.392507 1.044160 2.623452 6.671011
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015882 0.049433 0.141282 0.402004 1.105493 2.862886 7.499480
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014103 0.045742 0.135621 0.399759 1.136193 3.032109 8.180124
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012981 0.043770 0.134340 0.409339 1.199987 3.293670 9.133639
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011492 0.040311 0.128145 0.403804 1.221367 3.448790 9.832444
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010534 0.038362 0.126056 0.409991 1.277078 3.703355 10.835755
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009234 0.034948 0.118819 0.399214 1.281527 3.818765 11.473329